Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Iowa
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#64
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#74
Pace60.8#295
Improvement+0.8#136

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#99
Improvement+1.1#112

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#52
Improvement-0.3#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2012 186   Toledo W 84-81 OT 87%     1 - 0 -1.2 -1.9 +0.4
  Nov 17, 2012 264   North Dakota W 72-47 93%     2 - 0 +15.8 +3.0 +15.3
  Nov 22, 2012 1   Louisville L 46-51 11%     2 - 1 +16.0 -13.6 +29.5
  Nov 23, 2012 46   Stanford L 50-66 41%     2 - 2 -5.9 -10.2 +1.6
  Nov 24, 2012 33   Memphis L 47-52 35%     2 - 3 +6.6 -12.2 +18.2
  Dec 01, 2012 292   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-61 95%     3 - 3 -0.6 +2.8 -2.1
  Dec 05, 2012 251   Northern Colorado W 76-59 93%     4 - 3 +8.5 +3.4 +6.8
  Dec 08, 2012 145   @ George Mason W 82-77 OT 62%     5 - 3 +9.6 +5.2 +4.0
  Dec 15, 2012 36   Iowa L 73-80 36%     5 - 4 +4.4 +4.9 -0.2
  Dec 19, 2012 31   @ UNLV L 59-73 24%     5 - 5 +1.2 -1.1 +1.9
  Dec 23, 2012 23   St. Mary's W 82-75 43%     6 - 5 +16.6 +6.2 +10.1
  Dec 30, 2012 34   @ Wichita St. L 41-66 25%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -10.1 -17.4 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2013 96   Indiana St. L 61-65 72%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -2.3 -8.5 +6.1
  Jan 05, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. W 70-60 38%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +20.9 +3.9 +17.3
  Jan 09, 2013 79   Evansville L 59-62 68%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -0.2 -3.6 +3.0
  Jan 12, 2013 159   Bradley W 84-53 84%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +28.3 +18.2 +13.2
  Jan 15, 2013 15   @ Creighton L 68-79 17%     8 - 9 2 - 4 +6.8 +2.2 +4.2
  Jan 20, 2013 118   Drake W 85-55 77%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +30.0 +9.0 +20.6
  Jan 23, 2013 161   Southern Illinois W 58-45 84%     10 - 9 4 - 4 +10.0 -5.9 +18.4
  Jan 26, 2013 96   @ Indiana St. L 58-59 48%     10 - 10 4 - 5 +7.2 +3.7 +3.2
  Jan 29, 2013 79   @ Evansville L 51-54 OT 44%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +6.3 -13.5 +19.6
  Feb 02, 2013 34   Wichita St. W 57-52 47%     11 - 11 5 - 6 +13.4 -3.2 +17.2
  Feb 05, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 48-37 88%     12 - 11 6 - 6 +6.2 -12.8 +22.5
  Feb 10, 2013 159   @ Bradley W 68-65 65%     13 - 11 7 - 6 +6.8 +3.9 +3.2
  Feb 13, 2013 15   Creighton W 61-54 36%     14 - 11 8 - 6 +18.3 -4.9 +23.9
  Feb 16, 2013 118   @ Drake W 71-64 55%     15 - 11 9 - 6 +13.5 +6.5 +7.7
  Feb 19, 2013 197   @ Missouri St. W 69-63 72%     16 - 11 10 - 6 +7.6 +12.3 -3.2
  Feb 23, 2013 54   Denver L 57-63 57%     16 - 12 +0.0 +3.1 -4.8
  Feb 27, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois L 57-63 66%     16 - 13 10 - 7 -2.5 -7.2 +3.8
  Mar 02, 2013 65   Illinois St. W 80-72 63%     17 - 13 11 - 7 +12.4 +11.2 +1.5
  Mar 08, 2013 65   Illinois St. L 65-73 50%     17 - 14 -0.3 -5.2 +4.9
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 12.3 0.4 0.2 99.5 0.5%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 12.3 0.4 0.2 99.5 0.5%